All Research

Holding Credentials Accountable To Outcomes

We Need Evidence-Based Funding Models

By:
 
Matt Sigelman
Matt Sigelman
 
Mark Schneider
Mark Schneider
 
Shrinidhi Rao
Shrinidhi Rao
 
Scott Spitze
Scott Spitze
 
Debbie Wasden
Debbie Wasden
June 2025
Holding Credentials Accountable To Outcomes

Despite a marketplace flooded with over 1.1 million credentials, only 1 in 8 deliver material wage gains for workers. This landmark report from the BGI, in partnership with the American Enterprise Institute, cuts through the noise, using data from 65 million career records to reveal which credentials actually boost earnings, enable career switches, and help workers advance. While the best programs yield wage gains of nearly $5,000 and dramatically increase upward mobility, the majority fall short. With Workforce Pell and other public investments on the rise, the report calls for a rigorous, outcomes-based approach to credential funding—one that protects learners and taxpayers alike.

‍

Explore the tool!

Key Insights

With over 1.1 million credentials available but only 12 percent delivering significant wage gains, learners face a chaotic marketplace that lacks effective oversight.

Key Insights

Top-decile credentials yield annual wage gains of nearly $5,000 and significantly increase career-switching success and advancement opportunities, while bottom-tier credentials provide few or no benefits.

Key Insights

New data analytics enable objective measurement of credential outcomes across wages, career mobility, and promotion metrics.

Recent Research

See All
Talent at RiskTalent at Risk

Talent at Risk

The Crisis Facing Global Health Research and What Can Be Done

Read Report
Good Company, Wrong JobGood Company, Wrong Job

Good Company, Wrong Job

Why a Brand is No Guarantee

Read Report
Sidetracked: The Hidden Crisis in Mid-Career MobilitySidetracked: The Hidden Crisis in Mid-Career Mobility

Sidetracked: The Hidden Crisis in Mid-Career Mobility

What the Career Histories of 1.3 Million Professional Workers Reveal About Why They Stall, and How They Get Unstuck

Read Report
Breaking the Bottleneck: Expanding Work-Based Learning in ColoradoBreaking the Bottleneck: Expanding Work-Based Learning in Colorado

Breaking the Bottleneck: Expanding Work-Based Learning in Colorado

Read Report
The Company You KeepThe Company You Keep

The Company You Keep

The Outsized Effect of Employer Practices on Pay, Promotion, and Retention

Read Report
Programs That Make a DifferencePrograms That Make a Difference

Programs That Make a Difference

Outcomes for Georgia State University Student Success Participants

Read Report

Stay Connected with BGI

Subscribe to our newsletter for the latest research on education and labor market trends, AI disruption, and economic mobility.